Clear Out Weak Hands in the Market
On Wednesday the oil market sold off to $33.77 on large inventory builds, China`s devaluation of its currency, and a substantial selloff in equities. Sure, oil can go a dollar below this low, but for all intents and purposes this is the bottom in the oil selloff that was predicted for the start of the year. This move down was as predictable a move as there is in financial markets, and we called this down move to start the year with a piece we issued in December.
500k Futures Contracts Traded on Wednesday
It took over 500k in futures contracts just to push oil futures below $34 a barrel on Wednesday, and trust me it wasn`t an easy task for those involved in the pushdown. They now are stuck with being far too short the market at a level at which they don`t even like being stuck short. At a time when US production is about to drop off a cliff, and the Middle East is a ticking time bomb that is about to blow up any day now. Look for a major short squeeze in the oil market over the next month as the ramifications of $34 oil play out in the market.
Earning`s Season
This entire move in equities and oil was already pre-planned at the beginning of the year. Our market is a game piece, as this was just about cleaning out the weak hands before the start of the earning`s season to make a whole bunch more money for the first quarter. Shoot, the Shanghai Composite Index was up over 2% on the devaluation of the currency, yeah they took it really bad! Please, this is the same old crap the players played in August, and at the end of the third quarter, and voila the market was suddenly fixed right in October just in time for Earning`s season. It’s all a game, learn how the game is played and the profits will follow my friends!
Market Call on Record
This is a short piece just to get our market calling for an essential bottom in the oil market in for the record. You may now go long the oil market in your preferred instrument. Just stay away from companies that are going to go bankrupt, but in buying something like the USO oil futures ETF, you will definitely have a positive expected return over the next six months to a year going forward.